Scott Miller's February 2013 Commercial Real Estate Update

 
Calendar of Events
RealShare's Real Estate Outlook conference

RealShare's Real Estate Outlook conference has been the leading Los Angeles commercial real estate event for 25 years. In 2013, we're excited to bring you RealShare Los Angeles, where 1000+ attendees will gather to talk about every income producing property type, locally and nationally.


 


RealShare PHILADELPHIA | Mar. 7 | Crystal Tea Room


DATE: March 07, 2013


TIME: 07:30AM - 12:00PM


LOCATION: Crystal Tea Room, Philadelphia


 


RealShare Houston April 30th at the Petroleum Club


DATE: April 30, 2013


TIME: 07:30AM


LOCATION: The Petroleum Club of Houston


 


Mipim - Palais des festivals, Cannes, France


Please join FIABCI, the International Real Estate Federation, at one of the premier international real estate exhibitions and conferences in the world, MIPIM 2013.  MIPIM will take place 12-15 March 2013 at the Palais des Festivals, Cannes, France.


 


Local


 



Kemper Development Co. has put under contract for purchase a key, corner property adjacent to Bellevue Square.

 


Rents and apartment projects are rising in Seattle, in sharp contrast to the apartment market about 30 miles away.

 


Vulcan Real Estate’s controversial plan to help the city of Seattle build a block of housing and office space for nonprofits in South Lake Union is rife with misunderstanding.

 


Hugo Lingat Caingat, Jr., 59, of Bonney Lake, a former controller at the Aspen Lodging Group in Tacoma, was sentenced to two years in jail for embezzling more than $700,000 from the company.

 


A 240-unit apartment complex is being planned a block north of Gas Works Park in Seattle, at Wallingford Avenue North and North 34th Street.

 


In the middle of fast-changing Ballard, one developer is constructing wetlands and planting vegetable gardens on land where it could have built many more apartments or offices.

 


Word of the planned fall groundbreaking of the long-delayed, 660-foot Fifth and Columbia Tower got us to wondering about the status of two other proposed downtown skyscrapers on hold since the Great Recession turned the office market on its head.

 


A planned $400 million, 43-story office tower at Fifth and Columbia streets in downtown Seattle will include a luxury 184-room SLS hotel.

 


Emeritus Senior Living says it plans to hire 1,000 veterans, and their spouses, over the next five years.

 


Construction started Wednesday on REO Flats, a seven-story apartment project on Seattle’s Capitol Hill.

 


Seattle City Councilmembers Nick Licata, Tom Rasmussen and Sally Bagshaw on Thursday announced that they support shorter, slimmer towers for the waterfront blocks in South Lake Union.

 


Unico Properties of Seattle paid the Mack family a total of nearly $37.5 million for the Logan Building and the South Arcade retail property next to Pike Place Market in downtown Seattle, records show.

 


The number of closed single-family home sales rose more than 30 percent in the last month in Seattle compared with a year earlier, topping the national average of a gain of about 12 percent.

 


More of the blue will be washed out of Ballard’s collar this spring, when a luxury hotel opens where the neighborhood’s first bowling alley once operated.

 


Amazon.com already has planted its flag of domination in the online retail space. In 2012 — with three of the region’s largest real estate deals — it took a major step toward creating its own real estate empire

 


 


Amazon.com Inc. said it will build three new distribution centers in Texas, in the towns of Coppell, Haslet and Schertz.

 


Bloomberg Bottom Line Featured Marcus & Millichap’s Hessam Nadji,

GlobeSt.com Thought Leader, Discussing:

The Markets Recovering and Growing

How Job Growth is Driving Commercial Real Estate Sectors

What Makes Office Occupancy Different in This Recession

 


The murky world of real-estate pricing by private-equity funds is about to become a little less murky.

 


BRIDGEWATER, NJ-Venture capital investment in the Garden State continued its decade-long decline last year, totaling $429.3 million.

 


The hippest and fastest-growing companies operating in New York are expanding in trendy neighborhoods such as the Meatpacking District and Union Square. So why is Scott Rechler busy buying towers in pinstriped Midtown?

 


Self-storage facilities, those usually drab buildings on city outskirts where people stash their old sofas, heirlooms and other keepsakes, are now the biggest-ticket properties in commercial real estate—at least by one measure closely tracked by investors.

 


Real-estate investor Rockpoint Group and hotel operator Highgate Hotels bought Manhattan's Milford Plaza Hotel for about $200 million in 2010.

 


In 2011, Rob Speyer sat down for what he thought would be a brief meet-and-greet with Wang Shi, chairman of China's largest residential developer, China Vanke Co.

 


 


The global financial meltdown, housing shortage, poverty and the power crisis were the issues discussed at the U.N. symposium on global housing organised by the Global Housing Foundation and the U.S. Chapter of the International Real Estate Federation (FIABCI-USA) in New York in October .

 


Secure and well-protected property rights and accurate and accessible information for lenders and borrowers can promote economic growth. This was the main message from the 15 January 2013 forum,

 


TORONTO—The once red-hot condominium market here is suddenly teetering, as sales plummet and prices ease.

 


Holding a fishing rod in one hand and filling your lungs with country air, the last thing you might expect to find a minute's walk away is a coffee shop and a clothing store.

 


MADRID—Reyal Urbis SA, REY.MC +7.83% a real-estate firm that became a stock-market darling before Spain's property boom went bust, said it would file for bankruptcy protection in what could become the second-largest default in Spanish corporate history.

 

MultiFamily

 


LOS ANGELES-Though developer sentiment has wanted overall in the state, the multifamily and industrial markets were both strong. The Allen Matkins/UCLA Anderson developer survey breaks down the overall commercial real estate market.

 


HOUSTON-Recent articles on GlobeSt.com have reported on a very robust multifamily sector in Houston. Even as the development pipeline continues chugging along, creating more and more units, the question becomes, will it be too much?

 


PALM SPRINGS, CA-New product coming on the market may exert downward pressure on multifamily rental rates, says Rick Graf, CEO of Pinnacle. Graf spoke with Carrie Rossenfeld at the recent NMHC Apartment Strategies Conference here

 


SHERMAN OAKS, CA-In an update to this morning’s exclusive story about the firm’s purchase of the Plaza at Sherman Oaks, we detail the amenities and planned renovations.

 


ATLANTA—Hanna Capital is betting in the Carroll Organization. Hanna just made a long-term strategic investment in the privately-held real estate company’s future growth. Financial terms of Hanna's equity stake were not disclosed.

 


BofI Federal Bank is one of our Thought Leader partners on Multifamily Leader. Morgan Ferris, senior vice president income property lending, talked to us about where he sees the multifamily market going for the coming year.

 


A 240-unit apartment complex is being planned a block north of Gas Works Park in Seattle, at Wallingford Avenue North and North 34th Street.

 


Construction started Wednesday on REO Flats, a seven-story apartment project on Seattle’s Capitol Hill.

 


A new report outlines the economic impact of the apartment industry in Washington state and Seattle, where thousands of units are under construction.

 


LOS ANGELES-Demonstrating the volatility of the Los Angeles multifamily market, Vanguard Investments has listed for sale a portfolio of 14 apartment communities in the Hollywod/Koreatown area here.

 


Secondary multifamily markets are ripe for investment for smaller players, while the larger institutions continue to focus on Class A assets in gateway markets.

 


ORLANDO—Wood Partners has started construction on a 200-unit multifamily community located in one of Orlando’s hottest neighborhoods. The Rialto is under development on a 5.95-acre site on Spring Lake at the entrance of Doctor

 


DALLAS-January's national multifamily property statistics released by local AXIOMetrics Inc. showed a slowdown in annual effective rent growth and a decrease in concession values. Occupancy also took a slight hit, with the national occupancy rate declining 7 basis points from 94.11% in December to 94.04% in January.

 


MIAMI—Last week, we caught up with Elliott Throne, a director at HFF in Miami, to get his take on the Southeast’s multifamily market. How does that compare to other industry views?

 


A once-troubled luxury condo project in Woodinville’s wine county has been sold as an apartment property for $11.5 million more than what the sellers bought it for about two and a half years ago.

 

DISTRESSED

 


Illinois Gov. Pat Quinn signed into law a bill that will speed up foreclosures on abandoned, vacant single-family homes and multifamily buildings in the state. Such foreclosures will now get fast-tracked through the system.

 


For all of 2012, servicers completed more than 850,000 loan modifications, while the industry also continued to push for another foreclosure alternative—short sales, according to recent data from HOPE NOW, an alliance of mortgage servicers, investors, mortgage insurers, and nonprofit counselors.

 


From a bank it came, and to a bank it will return.

In 2005, Townsend Inc., a local developer, purchased the former home of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City with a plan to convert it into condominiums. But the project ended in foreclosure and, in an auction Monday, another bank took control of the historic office building.

 


Around seven years ago, Washington Mutual gutted its internal quality-control department to allow the failed Seattle thrift to provide more loans to people who wouldn't normally qualify for them.

 


Angel investor group Keiretsu Forum Northwest made slightly fewer investments in 2012 than the group did in 2011, despite expanding the number of its local chapters to six. But that drop may not be a bad thing

 


JERSEY CITY, NJ-From his home office in Brooklyn, commercial mortgage brokerage securities analyst Shlomo Chopp looks at CMBS loan statistics for New Jersey, and tells GlobeSt.com about some worrisome numbers:

 


ORLANDO—Crocker Partners just acquired two recently foreclosed Florida office parks. The distressed assets acquisitions add more than 1.3 million square feet to the company’s portfolio.

 



 



SAN FRANCISCO-In this UPDATE of our January 10 story, the locally based REIT has put a price tag on the 9.6-million-square-foot portfolio it is contributing to the newly crafted REIT.

 


SAN ANTONIO-Locally based American Opportunity for Housing/American Agape Foundation Inc., operating under the entity name AOH-Vantage at Fair Oaks LLC sold its 288-unit Vantage at Fair Oaks to an Orange County, CA-based REIT

 


WASHINGTON, DC-January REIT returns are in and they’re, well, ok. Still up but lagging behind the broader equity markets.

 


NEW YORK CITY-Michael Dell has visions of taking his company private in a leveraged buyout valued at $24 billion. And rumors in the wake of that momentous move are rippling through the industry that this will spur a pre-recession-like flood of LBOs among REITs.

 


 


It's nice to know where you'll be living next before you let go of the home you've been comfortable living in for years. However, not only is this not possible for most repeat homebuyers, it may not be the most financially prudent approach.

 


In the middle of fast-changing Ballard, one developer is constructing wetlands and planting vegetable gardens on land where it could have built many more apartments or offices.

 


The hippest and fastest-growing companies operating in New York are expanding in trendy neighborhoods such as the Meatpacking District and Union Square. So why is Scott Rechler busy buying towers in pinstriped Midtown?

 


The number of closed single-family home sales rose more than 30 percent in the last month in Seattle compared with a year earlier, topping the national average of a gain of about 12 percent.

 


SAN DIEGO-This year investors should expect an uptick in CMBS, rising about the $50 billion that was allocated last year, predicted Jimmy Board, senior vice president at Jones Lang LaSalle. He spoke with us here recently at MBA's CREF Multihousing Convention & Expo.

 


WASHINGTON, DC-To hear Greg Leisch tell it, it has never been a better time to be in commercial real estate than now. Leisch, president of Transwestern's Delta Associates, was the keynote speaker at last evening's Trendlines

 


JERSEY CITY, N.J.—On a recent Tuesday morning, Alan Dixon, an investment manager originally from Canberra, Australia, stood in front of a four-story townhouse here, one of the latest assets he purchased for his company's shareholders.

 

 

RE Blogs

 


Building owners and tenants who construct new buildings or improve existing buildings often miss out on valuable tax deductions at the time the building or improvement was originally placed into service.

 

RE Videos


Bloomberg Bottom Line

Featured Marcus & Millichap’s Hessam Nadji,

GlobeSt.com Thought Leader, Discussing:

The Markets Recovering and Growing

How Job Growth is Driving Commercial Real Estate Sectors

What Makes Office Occupancy Different in This Recession

 


PALM SPRINGS, CA-New product coming on the market may exert downward pressure on multifamily rental rates, says Rick Graf, CEO of Pinnacle. Graf spoke with Carrie Rossenfeld at the recent NMHC Apartment Strategies Conference here

 


SAN DIEGO-This year investors should expect an uptick in CMBS, rising about the $50 billion that was allocated last year, predicted Jimmy Board, senior vice president at Jones Lang LaSalle. He spoke with us here recently at MBA's CREF Multihousing Convention & Expo.

 


SAN DIEGO-Should investors be worried about Freddie Mac's new due diligence requirements? Joe Derhake, president of Partner Engineering and Science, Inc., and a GlobeSt.com Thought Leader broke down the issue for us recently at the MBA's CREF/Multifamily Housing Convention & Expo

 


NEW YORK CITY-Kenneth McCarthy, chief economist at Cushman & Wakefield, gives a presentation on the overall economy and how it impacts commercial real estate at a recent AIG-sponsored business seminar. His wide-ranging discussion touches on everything from the national unemployment situation to trends in the commercial real estate industry.

Scott Miller's January 2013 Outlook


Calendar of Events
RealShare's Real Estate Outlook conference


RealShare's Real Estate Outlook conference has been the leading Los Angeles commercial real estate event for 25 years. In 2013, we're excited to bring you RealShare Los Angeles, where 1000+ attendees will gather to talk about every income producing property type, locally and nationally.


 

Local


 



EBay Inc. signed a lease for 53,000 square feet, or three full floors, in the 21-story One Bellevue Center.

 


The 134-unit Langara apartment complex in Issaquah has been bought by Matteson Companies for $28.2 million.

 


Public records show that Kilroy Realty has bought the Westlake/Terry property, where Microsoft is a tenant, for nearly $170 million.

 


Over the last month or so, Wright Runstad & Co. President Greg Johnson has said his company is close to selling part of the Spring District in Bellevue to a residential development company.

 


State Farm Insurance is mulling expanding its operations in the Tacoma area, including looking at the downtown 12-story former headquarters of Russell Investments, largely vacant since Russell moved out in 2010.

 


Frank Stagen, who developed the Starbucks Corp. world headquarters and coined the neighborhood phrase SoDo where the building is located, is dead at 78.

 


Weyerhaeuser Co., citing an improving housing market, reported fourth-quarter and fiscal 2012 earnings and revenues both rose, and both beat analysts' expectations.

 


Seattle's commercial real-estate market was one of the "most active in the country" in the fourth quarter, according to a new report.

 


Seattle was among 10 cities reporting home price gains in November, with area prices up 7.4 percent year over year, according to the latest report from the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices.

 


 


LOS ANGELES-Dallas-based Axiometric’s jobs/multifamily-permitting report showed that Los Angeles ranked fifth among the top 10 MSAs for multifamily property permitting for trailing 12 months ending November, 2012. According to the report, permits for 8,582 units were issued in the L.A. market.

 


Amazon.com Inc. said it will open its third fulfillment center in California, a 1 million-square-foot center in Tracy, which is near San Francisco.

 


Super Bowl XLVII still is more than a week away, but New Orleans hotels already have scored big with rates three times their average.

 


A real-estate development company headed by a former Miss Reno Rodeo sold a controlling stake in six Las Vegas-area shopping centers in a deal that reflects growing investor appetite for commercial property in weak markets.

 


In 1988, a farmer and schoolteacher named Elizabeth Banks agreed to donate a rolling 138-acre plot of land in Montgomery County, Md., to Johns Hopkins University in an attempt to shield the property from large-scale development by turning it into a low-slung research campus.

 


The Federal Housing Administration has come to the rescue of nursing-home operators that are having a tough time obtaining traditional financing for mortgage loans.

 


 


The German agency in charge of property belonging to the state is looking to sell concrete bunkers built during the Nazi era to real-estate developers.

 


SINGAPORE—An increased surcharge the Singaporean government has assessed on most foreign buyers to try to tamp down soaring property prices threatens to rattle Singapore's uneasy relationship with many of its rich foreigners while giving Americans an edge in one of Asia's hottest property markets.

 


Surrounded by winding streets with names like Cloth Fair, Cowcross Street and Hosier Lane, London's Smithfield Market is steeped in history. Meat and livestock have been traded for more than a thousand years on the site, which also was where Scottish revolutionary hero William Wallace was executed in 1305.

 

 

MultiFamily

 


LOS ANGELES-Dallas-based Axiometric’s jobs/multifamily-permitting report showed that Los Angeles ranked fifth among the top 10 MSAs for multifamily property permitting for trailing 12 months ending November, 2012. According to the report, permits for 8,582 units were issued in the L.A. market.

 


The 134-unit Langara apartment complex in Issaquah has been bought by Matteson Companies for $28.2 million.

 


FORT WORTH-Presenters at the 24th annual Tarrant County Commercial Real Estate Forecast on Jan. 24 offered a consistent message to the 575 participants who showed up: Fort Worth is doing fine with jobs and the economy, as is Texas. Trends and predictions did differ between sectors, however.

 


New-home construction jumped in December to the highest level in more than four years, a trend that bodes well for the economy and jobs.

 


PALM SPRINGS, CA-Despite talk of an “apartment bubble” at conferences on each coast and in closed-door investor meetings, the multifamily market is in no danger of being overbuilt, according to research from Jones Lang LaSalle and other industry experts.

 


Officials of development company Harbor Urban this week announced that asset management company Carlyle Group will become an equity partner in two new in-city apartment projects.

 


EAST BRUNSWICK, NJ-The combination of strong rental demand and short supply will be the catalysts for a continued multi-family boom in New Jersey this year.

 

DISTRESSED

 


LAGUNA BEACH, CA-GlobeSt.com has learned exclusively that locally based Dornin Investment Group has acquired two Western US properties: Tenaya Quail East, a three-building, 54,112-square-foot distressed office, retail, flex and industrial commercial property….

 


A new worry is threatening the rally in the rebounding market for commercial mortgage-backed securities: Property owners have started to pick up the pace of resolving problems with distressed loans.

 


The former Trump condominium-hotel project in Fort Lauderdale, Fla., has stood vacant since 2009, when its developer defaulted on a heavy debt load before opening the newly built project. This year, it might be sold to its third owner.

 


ROSEVILLE, CA-Westwood Financial Corp. has just foreclosed on a defaulted loan the firm purchased that had been in receivership on Woodcreek Plaza, a 23,112-square-foot retail center here

 


A Philadelphia office tower is set to sell for nearly double the price it fetched three years ago, an example of the eye-popping returns that some real-estate investors are posting even in markets that haven't fully recovered.

 



 


Citi Takes Top Spot in REIT Equity Deals


Citigroup Inc. C +0.38% became the top equity underwriter for real-estate investment trusts in 2012, grabbing the No. 1 spot from Bank of AmericaMerrill Lynch, the longtime leader of the business.


 


Nontraded REIT Merges With Public One


Spirit Realty Capital Inc. SRC +1.84% agreed to be acquired by Cole Credit Property Trust II in an unusual deal in which a nontraded real-estate investment trust is merging with a public REIT.


 


 


Retailer demand for space at U.S. shopping centers slowed in the fourth quarter amid sluggish economic and employment growth, Reis Inc. (REIS) said.

 


By the end of 2012, it was observed that rental rates of apartments were shooting up in the U.S. However, home owners have to consider revising their rental agreements as more renters are moving toward buying a house as the charges are crossing budget thresholds.

 


There was a big jump in short sales in the Puget Sound area in 2012 as lenders increasingly allowed homeowners to sell their properties for less than the amount owed to avoid foreclosures.

 


Less than two years after embarking on a painful retreat from home lending, Bank of America Corp. BAC -3.86% is girding for a new run at the U.S. mortgage business. Whether that gamble pays off will depend in large measure on how long the mortgage market's run of record profits continues.

 


The number of Puget Sound area closed single-family home and condominium sales rose 15 percent in 2012 over the prior year, while the dollar value of sales rose 19.6 percent, according to a year-end report from the Northwest Multiple Listing Service.

 


The US economy closed out 2012 in a somewhat disappointing manner. Third quarter GDP growth was revised upward to a 3.1% growth rate, above the economy’s long run potential.

 

RE Blogs

 


Real Estate Exchanges are the “flagship” of the IRC §1031 practice, and certainly the more well known of the tax deferred exchange structures.

 


The US economy closed out 2012 in a somewhat disappointing manner. Third quarter GDP growth was revised upward to a 3.1% growth rate, above the economy’s long run potential.