Scott Miller's January 2014 Commercial Real Estate Review


Calendar of Events
RealShare's Real Estate Outlook conference


RealShare's Real Estate Outlook conference has been the leading Los Angeles commercial real estate event for 25 years. In 2013, we're excited to bring you RealShare Los Angeles, where 1000+ attendees will gather to talk about every income producing property type, locally and nationally.


 


Dreaming Big but Playing Small? How to Develop your Ability as a Thought Leader


Wednesday January 8th 8:30am-10:30am


Every conversation, sales interaction, and all leadership starts from within. Don't like the results you're getting? Change your inner dialogue/voice. Learn more


 


 


Local


 



Onni Group, of Vancouver, British Columbia, on Wednesday finalized its purchase of the land where The Seattle Times' old headquarters building stands.

 


The new growth strategy for Red Lion Hotels, the Spokane-based hotel chain, includes selling half a dozen properties between Kelso and Pocatello, Idaho.

 


Total Wine & More has leased about a quarter of the space in a shopping center planned for 1600 Armory Way in Seattle, officials of commercial real estate company Kidder Mathews said Monday.

 


Crews have broken ground on a long-planned hotel project in Seattle’s University District, where records show the same developer is buying more land right next door.

 


Real estate developer Greg Smith said he plans to build the tallest skyscraper in downtown Seattle on a site where the famous Metropolitan Grill steakhouse operates.

 


Jose L. Nino De Guzman, 30, who operated NDG Investment Group LLC from 2006-2009, was sentenced to 10 years in prison Thursday for running a "classic Ponzi" scheme that raised more than $30 million.

 


The British Columbia Investment Management Corp. paid $17.75 million on Tuesday for a nearly half-acre development site at Third Avenue and Virginia Street in downtown Seattle, public records show.

 


Seattle-based developer Touchstone announced Tuesday it had found an equity partner in Texas-based USAA Real Estate, moving it closer to redeveloping the former Troy Laundry block in South Lake Union into a new 820,000-square-foot complex.

 


In Seattle’s South Lake Union neighborhood, you can build a 283-room hotel without any parking.

 


Holland Partner Group is the new owner of a large property in Seattle’s South Lake Union area.

 


A three-building industrial property in Seattle’s Sodo neighborhood sold Wednesday for an extraordinary price of nearly $120 a square foot.

 


The 1800 Ninth Avenue Building in downtown Seattle sold Monday for nearly $150.4 million, public records show.

 


The Landing shopping center in Renton has been sold to a Boston-based investment fund for $165.4 million.

 


 


A divided US Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit upheld a finding of summary judgment against Con Edison insurers in their bid to collect damages from World Trade center leaseholder Larry Silverstein for…

 


Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. set terms for its expected return to the public markets next week, in an offering that could raise as much as $2.7 billion if it is well received by investors.

 


LOS ANGELES-Los Angeles is the nation’s most dense city, according to experts at the recent Impact on Density Symposium at The Downtown Breakfast Club.

 


CHICAGO—The economic recession may have hit middle-market retailers hard, but many outlets serving cost-cutting consumers thrived, and remain very attractive to investors.

 


CHICAGO—One of the nation's largest providers of senior housing has just entered into a lease at AMA Plaza, the iconic tower adjacent to the Chicago River and formerly known as the IBM Building, bringing its lease rate up to 92%.

 


CHICAGO-Continued moderate job growth will mean vacancies continuing to slowly trend downward in 2014 and 2015 across the office, industrial and retail sectors, DTZ Research said Thursday.

 


Private-equity giant Blackstone Group BX -0.91% LP has been using initial public offerings to exit its massive investments in shopping centers and hotels, like next week's expected IPO for Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.

 


DETROIT—Locals call it the " Dan Gilbert effect," the recent buying spree of commercial buildings in downtown Detroit by the billionaire founder of Quicken Loans.

Now the phenomenon appears to be spreading.

 


James Madison University students long ago dubbed the Ashby Crossing housing complex "Trashby" because of its age and rowdy residents.

 


Pressure is mounting on Allen Smith to expand the Four Seasons Hotels and Resorts brand, just three months after the former real-estate investor became chief executive officer of the storied hotel operator.

 


Among the nation's large cities, Denver has long had among the sleepiest office markets. But there are signs of an awakening.

 


LAS VEGAS-The Las Vegas investment market is really heating up, and both seasoned and new investors are buying multifamily properties at record paces.

 


The Volcker rule prohibits banks from owning more than 3% of a hedge fund or private-equity portfolio.

So why did Goldman Sachs Group Inc. GS +0.54% tell would-be investors that it would contribute up to 20% in a new fund that makes loans backed by office buildings, hotels, shopping centers and other properties?

 


 


SEOUL—About a decade ago, a huge tract of land reclaimed from the Yellow Sea west of Seoul was a barren wasteland. Today it is a city named Songdo with a population of 67,000, Korea's tallest tower and a green oasis modeled on New York's Central Park.

 


In late October, executives from Taubman Centers Inc., TCO +0.05% the luxury retail real-estate empire built by the Taubman family of Michigan, gathered with local officials and business leaders in Hanam City, South Korea, to celebrate the groundbreaking of a massive mall the company is building there.

 


SEOUL—A record number of foreign tourists visiting South Korea in recent years has fueled in Seoul what property developers are calling the biggest hotel boom in the country's history. But some industry participants say an overreliance on visitors from China and Japan leaves South Korea vulnerable to future overcapacity.

 


As the Chinese economy continues to boom, Chinese are looking abroad to spend money on real estate.

 


TOKYO—Some of Japan's pension funds are moving into the country's newly hot real-estate market in search of higher profits.

 


As Europe slowly recovers from its worst financial downturn since World War II, tensions are intensifying in Germany, France and the U.K. over new efforts to regulate rents

 

 

MultiFamily

 


MIAMI—Cranes are again rising over this city, as the poster child for the real-estate collapse enjoys a new condominium boom fueled by foreign investors looking to park their money in U.S. real estate.

 


BEAVERTON, OR-HFF has closed the sale of Waterhouse Place, a 279-unit, garden-style multi-housing community here. HFF marketed the property on behalf of the seller, a joint venture between Guardian Real Estate Services and a value-added fund advised by UBS Global Asset Management.

 


I reflect on my visit to the 2008 Urban Land Institute Fall Meeting in Miami, when a deep financial gloom was setting-in and 22,200 condos were shiny-new, but very vacant

 


IRVINE, CA-Creative new concepts in senior housing will be the key to catching the big wave of approximately 10,000 Baby Boomers a day turning 65, according to Manny Gonzalez, principal with KTGY Group Inc., a locally based architecture and planning firm

 


After World War II, insurance giant MetLife Inc. MET +0.77% transformed 80 acres of land in Manhattan into two sprawling apartment complexes with more than 11,000 units for returning veterans.

 

DISTRESSED

 


WASHINGTON, DC-Two separate reports add to the growing picture of health that is commercial real estate finance

 


SAN FRANCISCO-While there are many encouraging signs of recovery in the commercial real estate market ranging from rising property values to increasing mortgage originations, investors should be aware that there is also a great deal of CRE debt set to reach maturity in the next several years…

 


IRVINE, CA-While overall US foreclosure activity is down 23% year-to-date through October 2013, foreclosure activity on homes in the $5 million-plus value range is up 61% from the same time period in 2012….

 


A tax break for struggling mortgage borrowers ends Jan. 1 and that could mean big tax bills -- and financial hits for their neighbors.

 


KKR KKR -0.30% & Co. expects to complete raising a $1.5 billion real-estate fund this week, say people familiar with the firm, the latest sign that some large investors are regaining an appetite for riskier real estate.

 



 


REITs’ Involvement in Net Lease Growing


LOS ANGELES-REITs are becoming increasingly more attracted to net lease transactions as the sector proves itself stable, Michael Weil, president of American Realty Capital, tells Carrie Rossenfeld in this EXCLUSIVE video interview during RealShare Net Lease West.


 


The Pros and Cons of REITs


MIAMI—Where are the opportunities and challenges for commercial real estate REITs? What’s the long-term outlook for the REIT sector?


 


REIT Sectors to Watch in 2014 and Beyond


MIAMI—Some say now is not the right time for REITs—that it’s time to reduce REIT holdings. Others say now is the perfect time. Who’s right?


 


REIT Grabs $53M Net Leased Portfolio


MIAMI—Lexington Realty Trust aquired a portfolio of 10 retail locations leased to BluePearl Veterinary Partners, a 24-hour emergency pet care provider. The sale price is $52.6 million.


 


ARC Healthcare REIT Will Trade on National Exchange


NEW YORK CITY-Having told investors this past summer that AR Capital LLC was moving away from non-traded net lease REITs, Nicholas Schorsch said late Friday afternoon that a non-traded REIT…


 


Commercial Property Prices Rise 1%


NEWPORT BEACH, CA-Commercial property prices have virtually remained the same, rising only 1% in November, reports Green Street Advisors Inc., an independent research, trading and consulting firm concentrating on REITs….


 


A Remarkable Story


A bit of history . . . I was a newly minted NYSE REIT chief financial officer in 1994, and I had the pleasure of attending a dinner during a NAREIT conference hosted by Wells Fargo’s real estate banking team.


 


 


NEW YORK CITY-The metro area economy has outpaced both expectations and the nation in recovering from the downturn, a level of performance that tops the list of six megatrends for the city, Delta Associates’ Alexander Paul said in a presentation…..

 


Some of the nation's largest banks will offer loans that don't conform to new gold-standard lending definitions under sweeping mortgage regulations set to take effect next month, reversing course after industry leaders had earlier suggested that banks might further curtail lending.

 


PALO ALTO, CA-Crowdfunding platforms are proving to be highly popular among individual investors interested in commercial real estate transactions.

 


DENVER-Following historic seasonal trends, October home sales edged 2.8% lower than September, but still pushed 2.2% higher than sales in October 2012, RE/MAX reports. Median home prices were 11.9% above prices seen last October.

 


Few things are as consistent in the U.S. home-building industry as the annual hope trade, in which investors bid up the stocks of home builders each winter in anticipation of a robust spring season for home sales.

 


CHICAGO—Retail builders have spent many of the post-recession years just getting by on smaller projects such as luxury-oriented retail, which retained much of its demand, but 2014 may have something better in store.

 


SANTA ANA, CA-A new trend of certain industrial properties being repositioned as retail and showroom properties is emerging in Orange County.

 


IRVINE, CA-Maximus Advisors reports that just three metros have cut payrolls over the past six months, although the firm’s acceleration index has lost steam over the past two months,….

 


December 3, 2013

ALTA reported title insurance premium volume rose 14 percent during the third quarter of 2013 when compared to the same period a year ago.

 


WASHINGTON, DC-Offering more evidence of normalizing markets five years after the capital markets collapse, defeasance is back as a going concern.

 


NEW YORK CITY-With retail properties accounting for 19% of total US investment sales volume year-to-date, Jones Lang LaSalle is predicting a 20% increase in transaction volume next year….

 


Luxury home builder Toll Brothers Inc. TOL -1.15% caters to affluent customers who typically aren't deterred by price increases. But even the wealthy have their limits.

 


IRVINE, CA-Reducing real estate costs is the top motivator for workplace change initiatives, according to Rick Cleveland, managing director, research and strategy, for Cushman & Wakefield.

 


The strength of the housing recovery was a welcome surprise this year. If forecasters are correct, the sector is finally ready to start picking up the rest of the economy in 2014.

That's because the market is changing in important ways.

 

 

RE Blogs Education

 


LOS ANGELES-When considering net lease investments, go with a company rather than a particular property for the best strategy, Gordon DuGan, CEO and director of Gramercy Property Trust, told Carrie Rossenfeld in this EXCLUSIVE video interview during RealShare Net Lease West.

 


Ronald L. Bueing, Partner at Pivotal Law Group, PLLC;

Many remote sellers breathed a sigh of relief when the U.S. House of Representatives failed to take action on the Marketplace Fairness Act passed by the U.S. Senate last year.

 

Job Opportunities

 


UBS GLOBAL REAL ESTATE

Asset Manager

(SOUTHLAKE, TX)

 

HFF, L.P.

Real Estate Analyst

(NEW YORK, NY)

 

CBRE

Sr. Managing Director, Regional Facilities Management, West Region

(LOS ANGELES, CA

 

ULI

Director, Resiliency

(WASHINGTON, DC)

Scott Miller's November 2013 Commercial Real Estate Update


Calendar of Events


TOPIC: Development is Back! Mitigate Risk with Due Dilligence


DATE: Thursday, December 12


TIME: 1 PM ET


REGISTRATION COST: FREE! Register Now >


With development making a comeback, investors, lenders and developers alike are brushing the dust off their development due diligence policies and getting prepared for the unique challenges and risks of the


development process.


 


RealShare Healthcare Real Estate


RealShare Healthcare Real Estate on December 10 and 11 at the Phoenician, Scottsdale covers all aspects of this rapidly evolving sector.


 


FIABCI-USA Seattle Pacific NW Council Meeting


Friday, January 03, 2014


Time : 10:00am - 1:00pm


Venue : Seattle King County Association of Realtors


Address: 12410 SE 32nd Street, Suite#100, Bellevue WA 98005


 



DATE: January 28, 2014

TIME: 08:00AM - 11:45AM

LOCATION: City of Ontario Convention Center, Ontario, CA

RealShare is back in the Inland Empire bringing you the leading information across the sectors and local market intelligence from the industry's experts. Join us at the Ontario Convention Center for this half-day conference where our town hall panel will cover the market trends and provide an outlook for what to expect in 2014.

 


The Apartment market is hot. Accordingly, we’re headed to South Beach for the 3rd annual REALSHARE APARTMENTS EAST, March 3-4 at the Eden Roc in Miami. This hot resort will play host to the biggest names in commercial real estate: the owners, investors, developers, financiers and brokers who are getting the deals done.

 


3/26/2014 to 3/29/2014

San Francisco, California 

Susan Newman

 


4/13/2014 to 4/15/2014

Waldorf Astoria Hotel

New York, New York

 


4/21/2014 to 4/24/2014

The Cosmopolitan of Las Vegas

Las Vegas, Nevada 

 

Local


 



The beginning of the end of Touchstone Corp.’s involvement in the planned Parkplace project in downtown Kirkland likely came around a year ago.

 


It's only 25 years old but the former Washington Mutual tower at 1201 Third Ave. in downtown Seattle is going to get cleaned up.

 


The revival of construction on a 30-story mixed-use tower in downtown Portland, Ore., is more than just a feat for family-owned developer TMT Development Co. It is an indication that demand for new office space, which had been limited to the nation's largest markets, is spreading to midsize cities.

 


The Grand Ridge Plaza shopping center in Issaquah Highlands will hold opening day events starting today through this weekend.

 


Goodman Real Estate will build a seven-story apartment building on a Seattle waterfront site where one of Seattle’s oldest businesses, Argens Safe and Lock Co., operated until earlier this year.

 


Federal officials this week said they could know early next year whether the old Federal Reserve Bank branch in downtown Seattle might be given to someone for use as a homeless shelter.

 


Legacy Partners Residential plans to build a 276-unit apartment project near the Seattle offices of Google and other high-tech companies, a company official said Monday.

 


Pacific Medical Center, the art-deco style building on Seattle's Beacon Hill that once housed Amazon.com, will become a new satellite college campus, officials said Wednesday.

 


After last week’s Machinists vote that raises serious doubt about whether the 777X will be built here, we needed some good tidings. And they are here, in the new Emerging Trends in Real Estate from the Urban Land Institute and PricewaterhouseCoopers.

 


A Canadian high-rise developer may construct up to 2 million square feet of residential space across the street from Amazon.com’s world headquarters in South Lake Union.

 


Real estate magnate Michael Mastro, 88, and his wife Linda Mastro, 63, are featured on this week’s episode of CNBC’s “American Greed: The Fugitives.” We broke the news of this program in July, and since then there has been much interest about when the program would air.

 


BELLINGHAM, WA- Those who follow @GlobeStcom on Twitter and @GlobeStLIVE may have seen a post teasing the announcement, but GlobeSt.com has learned that in what is said to be one of the largest single land purchases by a state in the Pacific Northwest, American Forest Holdings LLC recently sold 51,000 acres of timberland to the state of Washington for $97 million.

 


Portland real estate investors are abuzz over the hottest commercial real estate listing on the market: The longtime home of The Oregonian newspaper.

 


Former real estate developer Winston Bontrager, 64, was sentenced to 11 years in jail and and his girlfriend Pauline Anderson, 65, was sentenced to more than three years in prison for 25 counts of tax evasion.

 


Officials of Kemper Development Co. said Monday that they have signed a long-term lease for a one-acre property north of Bellevue Square mall.

 


The Wendy's Co. said it's sold 23 company-owned restaurants in Southwest Washington and the Portland, Ore.-area to Group W Partners LLC.

 


A Canadian buyer paid $8.75 million for 670 acres of Red Mountain vineyards near Prosser at an auction of the wine-producing property on Saturday.

 


Prices for Seattle-area single-family homes rose 0.3 percent in September over the prior month and 13.2 percent over the past 12 months, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller 20-city home-price index

 


 


Houston-based Hines was named to do another Texas-size project in Washington: the conversion of Walter Reed Army Medical Center into a sprawling master-planned community.

 


Just before Christmas last year, a carload of revelers showed up in the lobby of what they thought was a Hilton Garden Inn in Estero, Fla., looking for their company holiday party.

 


For three years activist hedge-fund manager David Einhorn has been locking horns with St. Joe Co. JOE -2.84% , one of the largest property owners in Florida, over the value of the company's extensive land holdings.

 


Some of the biggest names in U.S. real estate are circling Los Angeles for what could be the highest-priced sale of a U.S. office property since before the recession.

 


Arizona State University is opening up a large tract of lakeside land for future development as part of a plan to finance a rebuilding of the iconic, 70,000-plus capacity Sun Devil Stadium, where scenes from the 1996 movie "Jerry Maguire" were filmed.

 


Morgans Hotel Group Co. MHGC +1.91% , owner and operator of celebrated properties such as the Hudson Hotel in Manhattan and the Delano South Beach in Miami, has spurned previous takeover attempts by Middle Eastern government funds and Hyatt Hotels Corp. H 0.00%

 


Lower Manhattan’s 1 World Trade Center was deemed the tallest tower in the U.S. by the Council on Tall Buildings and Urban Habitat, which ruled that the skyscraper’s 408-foot spire is part of its architecture.

 


A multiyear run-up in the value of farmland in the U.S. Midwest may be running out of steam.

Average cropland prices declined in parts of the Farm Belt in the third quarter from the previous quarter while rising at a low rate in other areas, according to separate reports this past week by regional Federal Reserve banks in Chicago, St. Louis and Kansas City.

 


ANCHORAGE-Those who follow @GlobeStcom on Twitter and @GlobeStLIVE may have seen a post teasing the announcement, but GlobeSt.com has learned that Stan Johnson Co. has completed the $104-million sale of a four-building, 677,778-square-foot office complex in the heart of Anchorage, Alaska to a partnership comprised of institutional investors.

 


In six years, Blackstone Group BX +1.24% LP transformed Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. into the largest hotel company by rooms, more than doubling its $6 billion investment.

 


 


Marriott International Inc. MAR +1.12% reached a deal to acquire one of Africa's largest hotel companies, a move that will make the U.S. chain the leader on a continent where tourism and business travel are growing rapidly with an emerging middle class.

 


SHANGHAI—China has long doted on its elders. Now they are getting attention from another group: foreign investors.

 


For more than two decades, Montreal was one of the sleepiest office markets in Canada, seeing no new private development as cities such as Toronto and energy-rich Calgary added millions of square feet of new space.

 


Inside the former Saint-Jude Church in Montreal, personal trainers mill about where priests once did and hot-stone massages have replaced baptisms.

 


With signs that Montreal's more than decadelong condominium boom could be fading, some local developers are repositioning or even pulling projects due to waning demand.

 


Unlike the U.S. postwar sprawl, which mixed houses with schools, supermarkets and diners, the new Chinese commuters have to drive for basic services, boosting energy consumption and emissions that have made the nation’s cities some of the most polluted in the world.

 


Office developers in the U.K. think they have hit on the next big thing: apartments.

Soaring prices for residential properties in London are prompting companies including Land Securities LAND.LN +0.53% PLC, British Land Co. BLND.LN +0.66% and Canary Wharf Group PLC to shift gears and build condominiums instead of office towers.

 


Brazilian authorities say they are questioning a company controlled by property investor Brookfield Asset Management BAM.A.T -0.29% as part of an investigation into allegations that São Paulo officials engaged in extortion.

 


In the heart of Berlin's central borough of Mitte, a German developer is transforming seven landmark buildings reflecting over three centuries of architectural history into a mixed-use complex, making it one of the largest private developments in the city.

 


Commercial-property sales in Germany are expected to climb to a post-financial-crisis high this year as the country lures investors seeking higher yields than are available in Europe's most desirable cities, like Paris and London.

 

MultiFamily

 


PHOENIX-Continued strong demand for multihousing has led the way for an increase in construction. According to Marcus & Millichap Real Estate Investment's Q4 Apartment Research Market Report, rents grew for the fourth consecutive year, leading to 3,900 units delivered to market by year-end.

 


A Canadian high-rise developer may construct up to 2 million square feet of residential space across the street from Amazon.com’s world headquarters in South Lake Union.

 


Goodman Real Estate will build a seven-story apartment building on a Seattle waterfront site where one of Seattle’s oldest businesses, Argens Safe and Lock Co., operated until earlier this year.

 


Federal officials this week said they could know early next year whether the old Federal Reserve Bank branch in downtown Seattle might be given to someone for use as a homeless shelter.

 


Legacy Partners Residential plans to build a 276-unit apartment project near the Seattle offices of Google and other high-tech companies, a company official said Monday.

 


Office developers in the U.K. think they have hit on the next big thing: apartments.

Soaring prices for residential properties in London are prompting companies including Land Securities LAND.LN +0.53% PLC, British Land Co. BLND.LN +0.66% and Canary Wharf Group PLC to shift gears and build condominiums instead of office towers.

 


SAN DIEGO-Competitive. That’s the best description for investor demand for core San Diego multifamily assets today. Although growth expectations are beginning to temper nationally, rent growth in the San Diego region is expected to pick up the pace over the next few years

 


GARDEN GROVE, CA-GlobeSt.com has learned exclusively that 9155 Central Ave. LLC of San Mateo has sold Park Grove, a 245-unit apartment community here, to Park Grove Capital Partners LLC, a private-capital investor from Southern California, for $47.5 million or $193,877 per unit.

 


SAN FRANCISCO-“Optimism reigns.” That was the overall message delivered to more than 450 local real estate professionals in attendance at the recent Marcus & Millichap/IPA Multifamily Bay Area Forum: San Francisco & Beyond event held at the Sofitel Hotel in Redwood City, CA. John Sebree, VP and national director-NMHG, kicked off the day-long event with an overview of the local Bay Area economy and multifamily trends

 


The "condo king" of Miami and a luxury hotelier are teaming up by going a little down-market.

Related Group's Jorge Perez and Sam Nazarian, whose SBE Entertainment develops high-end hotels, casinos and nightclubs, are launching a new hotel and condo brand, with its first two properties slated for midtown Miami and nearby Hollywood Beach.

 


Six parking lots in downtown Los Angeles recently sold for $82 million. But the buyers aren't interested in the parking business: They want to build 1,500 rental apartments on the properties.

 


The number of U.S. residential building permits issued in October surpassed 1 million, the highest level in five years, the Commerce Department reported Tuesday.

 


 


It’s a little early for annual look-backs, but 2013 will probably be recognized as the year of the buying frenzy -- until it wasn't.

 


Odd as it might seem, real estate investors now are more interested in buying warehouses than apartment buildings

 


When interest rates shot up last spring over fears that the Federal Reserve would soon curtail its stimulus programs, many in the property sector believed the then-booming market for commercial mortgages would be derailed.

 


PITTSBURGH—Call-center workers often toil in dreary offices, sometimes in dying strip malls or converted warehouses.

 


The number of U.S. residential building permits issued in October surpassed 1 million, the highest level in five years, the Commerce Department reported Tuesday.

 

RE Blogs Education

 


With the end of 2013 approaching, there are investors selling real estate who are not sure whether to

initiate a 1031 Exchange because they are concerned about securing replacement property.