Scott Miller's January 2013 Outlook


Calendar of Events
RealShare's Real Estate Outlook conference


RealShare's Real Estate Outlook conference has been the leading Los Angeles commercial real estate event for 25 years. In 2013, we're excited to bring you RealShare Los Angeles, where 1000+ attendees will gather to talk about every income producing property type, locally and nationally.


 

Local


 



EBay Inc. signed a lease for 53,000 square feet, or three full floors, in the 21-story One Bellevue Center.

 


The 134-unit Langara apartment complex in Issaquah has been bought by Matteson Companies for $28.2 million.

 


Public records show that Kilroy Realty has bought the Westlake/Terry property, where Microsoft is a tenant, for nearly $170 million.

 


Over the last month or so, Wright Runstad & Co. President Greg Johnson has said his company is close to selling part of the Spring District in Bellevue to a residential development company.

 


State Farm Insurance is mulling expanding its operations in the Tacoma area, including looking at the downtown 12-story former headquarters of Russell Investments, largely vacant since Russell moved out in 2010.

 


Frank Stagen, who developed the Starbucks Corp. world headquarters and coined the neighborhood phrase SoDo where the building is located, is dead at 78.

 


Weyerhaeuser Co., citing an improving housing market, reported fourth-quarter and fiscal 2012 earnings and revenues both rose, and both beat analysts' expectations.

 


Seattle's commercial real-estate market was one of the "most active in the country" in the fourth quarter, according to a new report.

 


Seattle was among 10 cities reporting home price gains in November, with area prices up 7.4 percent year over year, according to the latest report from the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices.

 


 


LOS ANGELES-Dallas-based Axiometric’s jobs/multifamily-permitting report showed that Los Angeles ranked fifth among the top 10 MSAs for multifamily property permitting for trailing 12 months ending November, 2012. According to the report, permits for 8,582 units were issued in the L.A. market.

 


Amazon.com Inc. said it will open its third fulfillment center in California, a 1 million-square-foot center in Tracy, which is near San Francisco.

 


Super Bowl XLVII still is more than a week away, but New Orleans hotels already have scored big with rates three times their average.

 


A real-estate development company headed by a former Miss Reno Rodeo sold a controlling stake in six Las Vegas-area shopping centers in a deal that reflects growing investor appetite for commercial property in weak markets.

 


In 1988, a farmer and schoolteacher named Elizabeth Banks agreed to donate a rolling 138-acre plot of land in Montgomery County, Md., to Johns Hopkins University in an attempt to shield the property from large-scale development by turning it into a low-slung research campus.

 


The Federal Housing Administration has come to the rescue of nursing-home operators that are having a tough time obtaining traditional financing for mortgage loans.

 


 


The German agency in charge of property belonging to the state is looking to sell concrete bunkers built during the Nazi era to real-estate developers.

 


SINGAPORE—An increased surcharge the Singaporean government has assessed on most foreign buyers to try to tamp down soaring property prices threatens to rattle Singapore's uneasy relationship with many of its rich foreigners while giving Americans an edge in one of Asia's hottest property markets.

 


Surrounded by winding streets with names like Cloth Fair, Cowcross Street and Hosier Lane, London's Smithfield Market is steeped in history. Meat and livestock have been traded for more than a thousand years on the site, which also was where Scottish revolutionary hero William Wallace was executed in 1305.

 

 

MultiFamily

 


LOS ANGELES-Dallas-based Axiometric’s jobs/multifamily-permitting report showed that Los Angeles ranked fifth among the top 10 MSAs for multifamily property permitting for trailing 12 months ending November, 2012. According to the report, permits for 8,582 units were issued in the L.A. market.

 


The 134-unit Langara apartment complex in Issaquah has been bought by Matteson Companies for $28.2 million.

 


FORT WORTH-Presenters at the 24th annual Tarrant County Commercial Real Estate Forecast on Jan. 24 offered a consistent message to the 575 participants who showed up: Fort Worth is doing fine with jobs and the economy, as is Texas. Trends and predictions did differ between sectors, however.

 


New-home construction jumped in December to the highest level in more than four years, a trend that bodes well for the economy and jobs.

 


PALM SPRINGS, CA-Despite talk of an “apartment bubble” at conferences on each coast and in closed-door investor meetings, the multifamily market is in no danger of being overbuilt, according to research from Jones Lang LaSalle and other industry experts.

 


Officials of development company Harbor Urban this week announced that asset management company Carlyle Group will become an equity partner in two new in-city apartment projects.

 


EAST BRUNSWICK, NJ-The combination of strong rental demand and short supply will be the catalysts for a continued multi-family boom in New Jersey this year.

 

DISTRESSED

 


LAGUNA BEACH, CA-GlobeSt.com has learned exclusively that locally based Dornin Investment Group has acquired two Western US properties: Tenaya Quail East, a three-building, 54,112-square-foot distressed office, retail, flex and industrial commercial property….

 


A new worry is threatening the rally in the rebounding market for commercial mortgage-backed securities: Property owners have started to pick up the pace of resolving problems with distressed loans.

 


The former Trump condominium-hotel project in Fort Lauderdale, Fla., has stood vacant since 2009, when its developer defaulted on a heavy debt load before opening the newly built project. This year, it might be sold to its third owner.

 


ROSEVILLE, CA-Westwood Financial Corp. has just foreclosed on a defaulted loan the firm purchased that had been in receivership on Woodcreek Plaza, a 23,112-square-foot retail center here

 


A Philadelphia office tower is set to sell for nearly double the price it fetched three years ago, an example of the eye-popping returns that some real-estate investors are posting even in markets that haven't fully recovered.

 



 


Citi Takes Top Spot in REIT Equity Deals


Citigroup Inc. C +0.38% became the top equity underwriter for real-estate investment trusts in 2012, grabbing the No. 1 spot from Bank of AmericaMerrill Lynch, the longtime leader of the business.


 


Nontraded REIT Merges With Public One


Spirit Realty Capital Inc. SRC +1.84% agreed to be acquired by Cole Credit Property Trust II in an unusual deal in which a nontraded real-estate investment trust is merging with a public REIT.


 


 


Retailer demand for space at U.S. shopping centers slowed in the fourth quarter amid sluggish economic and employment growth, Reis Inc. (REIS) said.

 


By the end of 2012, it was observed that rental rates of apartments were shooting up in the U.S. However, home owners have to consider revising their rental agreements as more renters are moving toward buying a house as the charges are crossing budget thresholds.

 


There was a big jump in short sales in the Puget Sound area in 2012 as lenders increasingly allowed homeowners to sell their properties for less than the amount owed to avoid foreclosures.

 


Less than two years after embarking on a painful retreat from home lending, Bank of America Corp. BAC -3.86% is girding for a new run at the U.S. mortgage business. Whether that gamble pays off will depend in large measure on how long the mortgage market's run of record profits continues.

 


The number of Puget Sound area closed single-family home and condominium sales rose 15 percent in 2012 over the prior year, while the dollar value of sales rose 19.6 percent, according to a year-end report from the Northwest Multiple Listing Service.

 


The US economy closed out 2012 in a somewhat disappointing manner. Third quarter GDP growth was revised upward to a 3.1% growth rate, above the economy’s long run potential.

 

RE Blogs

 


Real Estate Exchanges are the “flagship” of the IRC §1031 practice, and certainly the more well known of the tax deferred exchange structures.

 


The US economy closed out 2012 in a somewhat disappointing manner. Third quarter GDP growth was revised upward to a 3.1% growth rate, above the economy’s long run potential.

 

Scott Miller's 2012 Recap

Calendar of Events
RealShare's Real Estate Outlook conference

RealShare's Real Estate Outlook conference has been the leading Los Angeles commercial real estate event for 25 years. In 2013, we're excited to bring you RealShare Los Angeles, where 1000+ attendees will gather to talk about every income producing property type, locally and nationally. 

Local

 

After viaduct demolition, apartment tower could rise

After Seattle's Alaskan Way Viaduct is demolished in a few years and replaced by a waterfront tunnel, developers could build a new apartment tower that would take advantage of new Puget Sound views in aftermath of the viaduct.

 

Seattle’s 1202 Building To Be One of Region’s Most Efficient

SEATTLE-The Seattle District of the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers has moved into new headquarters at Federal Center South Building 1202, a design-build project led by ZGF Architects LLP and Sellen Construction.

 

$665M Gateway Pacific Terminal Gains Support

SEATTLE-Speaking to a crowd of supporters at the Washington State Convention Center in Seattle, prominent leaders of King County and state labor groups and the Association of Washington Business recently added their voices in support of the proposed $665 million bulk commodity export terminal.

 

Developers see Seattle's building boom moving to Bellevue

Today just two construction cranes rise above the broad streets of downtown Bellevue.

A year from now, there could be a lot more.

 
The good times for apartment landlords will come to an end in the coming years, according to a new report from Dupre + Scott Apartment Advisors.
 
One of the most expensive homes listed in the Puget Sound area has finally sold. Dubbed Boulevard Place East, the Mercer Island mega-manse at 4137 Boulevard Place sold for $13.2 million to Jay Deutsch, founder of Woodinville-based Bensussen Deutsch and Associates Inc. (BDA), manufacturer of branded promotional merchandise. The deal closed the day before Thanksgiving.
 
Seattle is the ninth-best market in the country for homeowners selling their home, according to a new report.
 
One of the most expensive homes listed in the Puget Sound area has finally sold. Dubbed Boulevard Place East, the Mercer Island mega-manse at 4137 Boulevard Place sold for $13.2 million……

BELLEVUE, WA-GlobeSt.com has learned exclusively that San Jose, CA-based Saratoga Capital Inc. has purchased Archstone Redmond Park, a 260-unit apartment community, from ASN Redmond Park LLC of Englewood, CO, for $62.1 million.
 
PORTLAND, OR-GlobeSt.com has exclusively learned that Oregon-based Glenbrook Partners Ltd. Partnership has sold its Glenbrook Apartments for $33.7 million. The buyer was an affiliate of New York City-based Abacus Capital Group.
 
A Seattle company, HAL Real Estate Investments, got a big payday Tuesday when it sold the 7th & Madison medical building on Seattle’s First Hill.
 
Amazon.com's $1.16 billion purchase of its sprawling South Lake Union headquarters in Seattle that closed Friday afternoon is the largest office sale in the United States for 2012.
 
Commercial real estate services company Colliers International reports that Kilroy Realty will buy Vulcan Real Estate and Group Health’s Westlake/Terry property, where Microsoft leases space.
 
 
 
Google Inc. GOOG +1.93% searched for land for its data centers and got lucky in Iowa, a state better known for cornfields than computers.
 
A Chinese company listed on the New York Stock Exchange is beginning to develop residential property in the U.S., hoping to tap into the hot demand among Chinese investors for U.S. apartments.
 
Inland American Real Estate Trust Inc. plans to begin marketing 4,000 apartment units and pour the proceeds into student housing in a sign that the shine is fading from the multifamily sector.
 
More buildings are set to rise in Playa Vista, one of the largest undeveloped areas left in Los Angeles, as developers turn their focus from the exurbs to the "infill."
 
Next week's ICSC New York National Conference will bring together thousands of retail real estate professionals from the area and beyond. And according to Joseph French, an associate vice president of investments at Marcus & Millichap (booth #413) who specializes in retail, there should be more activity this year than in 2012 at the show.
 
New York's top financial regulator hasn't signed off on a pair of deals that would establish the biggest processor of subprime mortgages.
 
Sony Corp. should soon know the value of its iconic Manhattan tower.
The electronics giant put its 37-story New York office building at 550 Madison Ave. up for sale earlier this year, and is set to take first-round bids on the property on Monday, according to real-estate executives informed of the deadline.
 
For years Boston civic and business leaders have dreamed of developing the city's Seaport District, a collection of aging industrial buildings and parking lots separated from downtown by an old shipping channel.
 
LONDON—TescoTSCO.LN -0.19% PLC is poised to leave the U.S. after spending five unprofitable years and £1 billion ($1.61 billion) on an ill-timed American gambit that now ranks among the British retailer's biggest-ever failures
 
The sprawling Roosevelt Field mall on Long Island, anchored by Bloomingdale's, NordstromJWN +1.28% and Macy's, ranks among the 20 most-lucrative malls in the U.S.
 
A Los Angeles real-estate company that specializes in distressed industrial property has joined forces with a West Virginia not-for-profit economic-development agency to try to cash in on the natural-gas boom in that region by buying a shuttered steel plant.
 
Beleaguered Seattle biotech Dendreon Corp., which announced it was is closing its Morris Plains, N.J. facility in July, said it's sold the facility to Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corp. for $43 million.
 
Arthur and William Lie Zeckendorf—the developers of one of Manhattan's most-successful condominium projects in recent memory—are hoping to repeat their success partly by using the same architect.
 
 
YANGON, Myanmar—Private-equity firms are divided over whether Myanmar will be a source of huge profits, or just another place to endure losses.
 
THANLYIN TOWNSHIP, Myanmar—A possible scene from the future of Myanmar, one of the world's poorest countries, is taking shape on a bluff here overlooking a muddy stretch of the Bago River.
 
Simon Property Group Inc. SPG -0.52% is getting good marks for its handling of French-based Klépierre SA LI.FR +0.40% less than a year after buying a controlling stake in one of Europe's biggest retail property owners.
 
STOCKHOLM—Nokia Corp.'s NOK1V.HE +9.66% hulking glass-and-steel headquarters overlooking the Gulf of Finland was built in several phases with half-a-million square feet of space, enough room for thousands of employees to take the onetime galoshes maker to the top of the world's cellphone market
 
DUBAI—Seeking to cement its position as a Middle East center for transport and tourism, Dubai has unveiled several grandiose construction projects that bear some of the hallmarks of the debt-laden boom years that nearly brought the emirate to its knees.
 
U.K. home builders are continuing to struggle with weak demand even as their counterparts in the U.S. enjoy a housing recovery that is enabling them to ramp up production.
 
MultiFamily
 
The good times for apartment landlords will come to an end in the coming years, according to a new report from Dupre + Scott Apartment Advisors.
 
LOS ANGELES-Champion Real Estate Co. revealed a new partnership with Alex Saunders who will serve as a partner of Champion-Saunders Multi-Family Investments
 
PORTLAND, OR-Those who follow @GlobeStcom on Twitter and @GlobeStLIVE may have seen a post teasing the announcement, but GlobeSt.com has learned that Wood Partners has reached an agreement with local developer Hoyt Street Properties to pursue development of an $80-million high-rise tower in downtown Portland’s Pearl District.
 
GARDEN GROVE, CA-Developer Brandywine Homes is planning its first multifamily development—the first of four apartment complexes it plans to build in the coming year. In January, the firm will break ground on a 25-unit project consisting of two- and three-bedroom townhomes and flats on .887 acres near Dale St. and Stanford Ave. here
 
BELLEVUE, WA-GlobeSt.com has learned exclusively that San Jose, CA-based Saratoga Capital Inc. has purchased Archstone Redmond Park, a 260-unit apartment community, from ASN Redmond Park LLC of Englewood, CO, for $62.1 million.
 
Tricap Expands into Ohio with 120-Unit Apartment Buy
EXCLUSIVE DUBLIN, OH-The Chicago-based company makes its first move outside of Illinois by acquiring Residences at Sawmill Park on behalf of a private investment group.
 
BEVERLY HILLS, CA-Those who follow @GlobeStcom on Twitter and @GlobeStLIVE may have seen a post teasing the announcement, but GlobeSt.com has learned that Aragon Holdings has expanded into two new markets with the acquisition of three properties in Atlanta and Denver
 
DISTRESSED
 

PALM BEACH, FL—The Related Group won the foreclosure auction for the Promenade at Palm Beach. The final price: $121 million. Related can now take title to the unsold residential and commercial inventory at the condo complex, which went into foreclosure in April.

 

 

The High Cost of Rolling With REITs

Real-estate investment trusts are closing out another strong year, benefiting from their status as higher-yielding investments in a world of meager interest rates. But some fund managers say REITs are getting less appealing even as they grow more popular.

 

Prologis Board Approves J-REIT Sponsorship

SAN FRANCISCO-Those who follow @GlobeStcom on Twitter and @GlobeStLIVE may have seen a post teasing the announcement, but GlobeSt.com has learned that locally based Prologis Inc……

 

DCT Nabs 313,000-SF Asset

LA PORTE, TX-A three-year wait for a two-building industrial property ended for DCT Industrial Trust Inc. as it just concluded an off-market acquisition of the rail-served, 312,964-square-foot facility near the Port of Houston.

 

PREIT Enlivens Retail at Moorestown Mall as Alcohol Ban Lifted

MOORESTOWN, NJ-After working hand-in-hand with Township officials and residents here for several years to overturn a century-old local ban on alcohol, Pennsylvania Real Estate Investment Trust is making merry at the local mall.

 

DCT Nabs 313,000-SF Asset

LA PORTE, TX-A three-year wait for a two-building industrial property ended for DCT Industrial Trust Inc. as it just concluded an off-market acquisition of the rail-served, 312,964-square-foot facility near the Port of Houston.

 
 
So far worries about the "fiscal cliff" don't appear to be weighing on the housing market. Perhaps they never will.
 
Real Estate Weekly: Owning a home may be unattainable for many: survey
MarketWatch - Eighty-eight percent of those surveyed say owning a home is important, but only 45% say it’s attainable for middle-income families and 43% say a home is the best investment a family can make, according to the survey of 3,000 Americans…
 
John Paulson, the billionaire hedge-fund manager who made a fortune betting on the collapse of U.S. home prices, is sitting on a tidy profit from the real-estate market's rebound.
 
With demand for farmland showing no signs of slowing, the market is welcoming the return of a missing element: supply.
 
LOS ANGELES-Office and industrial recovery is reaching more areas of Los Angeles and Orange counties as well as the Inland Empire, according to a recently released report, “The 2012 Casden Industrial and Office Forecast from the University of Southern California,”
 
Six generations ago, Chinese workers were brought to San Francisco as cheap, pliable labor. Degraded as "coolies," they were thrown into the back-breaking work of mining gold and building railroads.
 
There are few professionals more hopeful for a bright future this holiday season than architects, who are finally starting to see business conditions improve.